And now they were 4….

I got to look at that positively, at least I got one semi right even if I was completely wrong fort he other one.

Holland vs Urugay

Urugay: They were not supposed to be there and they somehow managed to get there. They had an easy group, got South Korea, a defensive team perfect for their style and got lucky against Ghana. They are going to face a much better team with Holland and their best striker is suspended for the handball. Just to be clear, what Suarez did was the ONLY decision he could take. As one that always say that sports people are always taking the suboptimal decision I am not going to critize when one makes an optimal one. Suarez turned a 0% chance of victory into a 12,5% with this handball (Penalties are usually converted 75% of the time and let us assume that they had a 50/50 chance of winning on penalty). Gyan choose a very bad moment to miss and the other Ghanan were shooting like Pee-Wees. Finally, someone should have done his homework and tell Kinson that “El Loco” ALWAYS does that little lob. Their luck is going to run out.

Holland: kudos for beating Brazil but they are not playing pretty football. They are faking, complaining like Italians and lumbering through games like the late 1990s Germans. But they are effective and they win games. They should beat Urugay

Germany vs Spain

Spain: Another team that will run out of luck. They have been a shadow of their former self, where never seriously tested and have not shown that they are able to come back from 0-1. I do not buy into the “Torres can explode at anytime.” theory, the guy is hurt and Spain is a better side without him. This is a one track team, if you take out Villa they are unable to score. Their 1-0 win against a pathetic Portugal did not convinced anyone and their got lucky in the Paraguay game. Luck can only take you so far.

Germany: This team is VERY VERY VERY good and is going to be so for a long time, only 2 players were born in the 70s. They are the most tested team of the tournament and I was really impressed how they destroyed Argentina and how they clobbered Serbia with 10 men. I do not see how it can be beaten by anyone of the 3 other teams could beat them. But Paul does not agree with me.